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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.12+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.84-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.92-1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.18-1.41vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.11-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-1.22vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.45-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.31-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.26University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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3.32University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.82Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.26Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 20.2% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 18.6% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Wolters | 17.6% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 21.0% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 27.2% | 31.9% | 11.7% |
| Noah Marzke | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 15.8% | 67.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 21.9% | 34.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.