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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Michigan1.84+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.92+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.12-0.88vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.95-1.72vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.11-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota1.18-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.31-1.94vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.45-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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3.28Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.69Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.27Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Wolters | 17.7% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 15.6% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kate Klement | 22.7% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 21.3% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 25.1% | 32.7% | 11.8% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 22.9% | 32.7% | 19.5% |
| Noah Marzke | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 18.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.