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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.12+2.08vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.11+1.98vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.95-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.92-1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.18-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.09-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.31-0.94vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.45-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.84-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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4.98Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.41Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.26Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Klement | 23.8% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Mark Davies | 19.4% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 18.6% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 23.3% | 31.2% | 12.9% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 22.9% | 35.8% | 17.3% |
| Noah Marzke | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 16.9% | 66.6% |
| Mason Wolters | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.