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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.84+2.57vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.95+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.12+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.18+0.61vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.11-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.92-3.62vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.31-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-0.09-2.27vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.45-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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4.61University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.7Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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7.08University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.29Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Wolters | 17.7% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mark Davies | 16.6% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 23.6% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Christian Cyrul | 19.1% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 19.5% | 38.3% | 17.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 27.1% | 29.3% | 12.4% |
| Noah Marzke | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 16.1% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.