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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.24+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.08+0.31vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.84+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.40-1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.29-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.34-2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.73-0.45vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.29-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.46-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Northwestern University1.240.2%1st Place
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2.31University of Wisconsin2.080.4%1st Place
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4.02Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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3.04University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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7.01Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Rosenthal | 17.5% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 35.4% | 29.0% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lane Tobin | 20.9% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 5.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Stone | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 25.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 20.9% | 39.6% | 25.1% |
| Chris Somero | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 34.4% | 29.4% | 13.6% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 10.1% | 22.1% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.