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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+3.83vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University0.53+7.76vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.31+5.28vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+2.53vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+2.30vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.36+7.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07+0.53vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.82-2.20vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.20-0.74vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University1.47-6.63vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+3.24vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-7.06vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.54+1.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-2.19vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-1.03vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara0.25-8.70vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-0.41-5.96vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.06-2.11vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.07-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83University of Southern California1.4016.8%1st Place
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9.76San Diego State University0.534.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Southern California0.909.4%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Berkeley0.314.9%1st Place
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7.53California Poly Maritime Academy0.887.8%1st Place
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8.3California Poly Maritime Academy0.536.0%1st Place
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8.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.8%1st Place
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15.33University of California at Irvine-0.360.9%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Davis0.075.2%1st Place
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7.8California State University Channel Islands0.827.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Southern California0.203.6%1st Place
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5.37San Diego State University1.4712.5%1st Place
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16.24University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
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14.49University of California at San Diego-0.701.8%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.916.2%1st Place
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17.32California State University Channel Islands-1.540.6%1st Place
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14.81University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.3%1st Place
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16.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.490.9%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Santa Barbara0.253.8%1st Place
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14.04Arizona State University-0.411.1%1st Place
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18.89University of California at Irvine-2.060.2%1st Place
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18.7University of California at San Diego-2.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 16.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aston Smith | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Colin Olson | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| JT Long | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Michael Jacobson | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 31.6% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.