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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.08+1.20vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27+1.41vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.84+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.29-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.40-2.95vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.34-2.29vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.50-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.73-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.46-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Wisconsin2.080.4%1st Place
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3.41Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.03Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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4.71University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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7.23Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Bocklet | 38.6% | 27.6% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 13.8% | 18.8% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 9.5% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 23.4% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Lane Tobin | 22.2% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stone | 7.1% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 25.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Jay Weber | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 29.8% | 36.0% | 15.5% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 24.5% | 33.8% | 25.1% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 11.7% | 22.3% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.