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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.84+2.99vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+2.90vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.08-0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.44-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.29-0.22vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.27-3.70vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.73-0.45vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.29-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.46-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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2.25University of Wisconsin2.080.4%1st Place
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3.02University of Michigan1.440.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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3.3Northwestern University1.270.2%1st Place
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7.55University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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6.99Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 11.5% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stone | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 26.3% | 12.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Charles Bocklet | 36.1% | 29.0% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 21.3% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 23.6% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Bruce | 16.3% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 21.5% | 39.3% | 24.8% |
| Chris Somero | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 34.0% | 29.0% | 13.6% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 9.6% | 22.2% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.