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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.08+1.22vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.27+0.44vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.84+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.34-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.44-2.97vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.29-2.17vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.29-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.73-1.50vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.46-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Wisconsin2.080.4%1st Place
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3.44Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.04Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Michigan1.440.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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7.05Michigan State University-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Toledo-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Bocklet | 38.7% | 26.8% | 17.7% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 13.9% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 9.5% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 23.8% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Colton Gerber | 22.4% | 23.7% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 24.9% | 13.5% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Chris Somero | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 31.1% | 33.4% | 12.5% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 22.1% | 35.7% | 26.2% |
| Garrett Altenberger | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 10.2% | 22.2% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.