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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.44+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.08-0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.29+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.73+2.75vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.50+1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.98-0.06vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.24-4.55vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.84-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Michigan1.440.2%1st Place
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5.04University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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2.24University of Wisconsin2.080.4%1st Place
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4.86University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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7.59Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
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3.45Northwestern University1.240.2%1st Place
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4.03Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Gerber | 19.8% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Charles Bocklet | 37.3% | 26.4% | 19.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 24.7% | 43.6% |
| Jay Weber | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 15.7% | 30.1% | 36.0% |
| Delaney Imbler | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 25.9% | 29.9% | 16.8% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 16.2% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.