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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.93+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.29+3.22vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+2.02vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.08-1.64vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.84-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.40-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.98-1.04vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.50-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.73-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Northwestern University1.930.3%1st Place
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5.22University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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2.36University of Wisconsin2.080.3%1st Place
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4.1Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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6.96University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
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7.57Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 28.4% | 26.2% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 20.5% | 24.7% | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Michael Stone | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 14.6% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 33.6% | 27.0% | 19.1% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 9.9% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Lane Tobin | 16.2% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Imbler | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 26.9% | 28.2% | 15.9% |
| Jay Weber | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 17.4% | 30.4% | 34.5% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 14.5% | 26.0% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.