← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University0.84+3.23vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.40+1.49vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.93-0.40vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin2.08-1.68vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame0.29-0.02vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota0.34-2.01vs Predicted
-
8University of Toledo-0.98-1.04vs Predicted
-
9University of Chicago-1.73-1.16vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University-1.50-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
-
3.49University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
-
2.6Northwestern University1.930.3%1st Place
-
2.32University of Wisconsin2.080.3%1st Place
-
4.98University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
-
4.99University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
-
6.96University of Toledo-0.980.0%1st Place
-
7.84University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.59Michigan State University-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lane Tobin | 13.5% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 27.9% | 25.1% | 21.9% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 34.8% | 27.5% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 22.2% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Michael Stone | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 24.9% | 15.5% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Imbler | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 28.8% | 28.2% | 16.0% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 26.3% | 46.0% |
| Jay Weber | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 17.1% | 31.1% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.