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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.60vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.22vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.25vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.05vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96+0.15vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-2.00vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05+1.61vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-4.19vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.44-1.74vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-3.75vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-3.32vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.51vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.47-5.81vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.24-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.03Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.34Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.81Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.26Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.68Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.49Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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15.86Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 16.9% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Paz | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 2.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 14.7% | 28.2% | 16.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 12.0% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.