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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+7.16vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+3.84vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+0.76vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+3.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.59vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.47+3.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.16vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.82vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-0.99vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-0.36vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-0.44vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.37vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.44-3.57vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.77vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.38vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.24-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.64Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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11.56Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.43Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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13.62Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.89Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 4.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mary Paz | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 26.9% | 17.4% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 13.1% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.