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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+7.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+4.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+5.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01-0.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.09vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.31vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.57vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-0.96vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05+0.69vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-1.97vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.89vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-3.29vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.49vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-0.13vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.44-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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4.64Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.11Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.51Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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15.87Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Erika Reineke | 17.1% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 5.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 28.0% | 17.3% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 13.6% | 67.7% |
| Mary Paz | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.