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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+7.10vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+3.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+4.57vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01-0.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.08vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+2.13vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+1.83vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+1.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-3.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.05+0.72vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-3.77vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.65vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.82vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-4.49vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-0.13vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.66Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.13Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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6.63Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.51Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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15.87Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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13.62Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.5% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| Mary Paz | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 5.8% |
| Emma White | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 14.3% | 67.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 27.5% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.