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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+4.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+5.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+4.85vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.44+4.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.21vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-0.24vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36+0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.85vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.01-6.44vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-3.09vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.05vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.78Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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4.56Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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7.96University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.91Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.95Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.97Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Mary Paz | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 17.6% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 4.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 30.7% | 17.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.