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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.02vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+4.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+2.72vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+3.70vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+2.01vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.72vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-3.52vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-0.94vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.14vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-3.10vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-2.03vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.44-3.25vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-1.29vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-3.87vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.35Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.72Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.48Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.97Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.71Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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14.97Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.4% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Mary Paz | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 29.8% | 15.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 6.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 13.1% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.