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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+0.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.65vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+1.07vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-0.18vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.88vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39+1.70vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-1.01vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-3.00vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-5.40vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.24-0.09vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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4.68Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.82Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.7Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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14.91Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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6.48Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Emma White | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Paz | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 30.0% | 16.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 4.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 13.7% | 69.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.