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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+3.68vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+4.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.36+12.20vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.20+5.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+8.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+3.09vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.82-0.40vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.07+0.64vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.88-2.30vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-1.09vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University1.47-6.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.31-3.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-6.14vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-6.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.36vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.41-3.07vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.54-0.59vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-3.92vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-2.06-1.23vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-4.09vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.07-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of Southern California1.4017.5%1st Place
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6.63University of Southern California0.908.7%1st Place
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15.2University of California at Irvine-0.361.0%1st Place
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8.14California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.5%1st Place
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10.59University of Southern California0.203.2%1st Place
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14.46University of California at San Diego-0.701.6%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.253.2%1st Place
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7.6California State University Channel Islands0.826.9%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Davis0.074.5%1st Place
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7.7California Poly Maritime Academy0.886.9%1st Place
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9.91San Diego State University0.534.0%1st Place
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5.34San Diego State University1.4711.8%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Berkeley0.315.4%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.918.3%1st Place
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8.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.4%1st Place
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16.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.2%1st Place
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13.93Arizona State University-0.411.3%1st Place
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17.41California State University Channel Islands-1.540.8%1st Place
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15.08University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.0%1st Place
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18.77University of California at Irvine-2.060.6%1st Place
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16.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.490.8%1st Place
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18.52University of California at San Diego-2.070.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 17.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| JT Long | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Cuyler | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aston Smith | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Brent Lin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 12.4% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Michael Jacobson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 29.0% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.7% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.