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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.58vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+10.68vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+3.17vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.85vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-2.34vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-1.76vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05+1.93vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36+0.13vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-3.97vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.40vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.44-4.31vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-6.99vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.24-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.68Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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4.66Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.24Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.13Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.03University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.6Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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15.0Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 30.4% | 16.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 17.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 4.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Mary Paz | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Emma White | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 13.1% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.