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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.07vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+5.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+2.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+2.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41+1.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+1.49vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49-0.83vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.10+2.72vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.84vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.21-2.51vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-5.15vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.58-6.04vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-6.97vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.68-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.72Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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16.49Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Camille Matile | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 39.7% | 11.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 8.9% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.