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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.63vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+3.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+2.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.58+3.82vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+1.35vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+0.49vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-1.20vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.77vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-2.44vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.45vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.21-3.50vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-4.72vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-2.20vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.68-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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10.5Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.8Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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16.48Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Catherine Price | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 1.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 38.5% | 10.9% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 8.9% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.