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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.68vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+4.97vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+3.23vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+1.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.93vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.13vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58+0.12vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-0.53vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-1.62vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.21-1.70vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-2.63vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-4.91vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-5.80vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-2.24vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.68-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.45Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.47Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.76Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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16.47Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 0.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Camille Matile | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Price | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 37.5% | 11.2% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.