← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.06+5.65vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.51vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.21+6.73vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.20+2.53vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+4.76vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.65+2.29vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.84+0.71vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.41+0.92vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.33-3.13vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.58-1.42vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.58-2.52vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.35-6.14vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.22vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.10-1.13vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.06vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-0.68-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.65Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
5.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.73Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
-
6.53Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.76Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.29Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
-
7.71Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
8.92Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
5.87Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.58University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.48Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.86Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.78University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
12.87Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
15.5Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 40.0% | 10.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 0.8% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.