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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+3.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.57vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.72vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.58+2.42vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+0.22vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.21+0.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-5.30vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.52vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.26vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.10-1.25vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.68+0.37vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.77Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.27Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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15.37Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Price | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 0.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 36.2% | 10.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 7.5% | 83.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.