← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.65+7.13vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.58+6.43vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.55vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.20+2.53vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.84+2.66vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.33+0.02vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.06-0.06vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.23+1.64vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.21+0.70vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.35-4.11vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.25vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.58-3.45vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.41-3.96vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island3.37-8.32vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.10-2.00vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-0.68-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.13Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
-
8.43Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
6.53Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.66Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.02Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
6.94Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.64Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.7Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.89Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.04Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
-
5.68University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
13.0Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
15.48Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 1.2% |
| Catherine Price | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 1.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 0.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Camille Matile | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 39.6% | 12.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 82.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.