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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+4.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+4.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+6.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.94vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+2.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+0.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.37vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-1.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-1.38vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.58-2.50vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.21-2.26vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10-0.10vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.41-4.99vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.08vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.68-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.66Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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12.9Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.01Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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15.51Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Price | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 40.5% | 10.5% |
| Camille Matile | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 1.1% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 8.3% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.