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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+1.56vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.83+2.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+0.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52-0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.27+1.19vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.49-2.21vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.07-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-2.61vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.60-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-1.81vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University-2.40-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Rhode Island1.780.3%1st Place
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4.1Middlebury College0.830.1%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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3.04Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.270.0%1st Place
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4.79University of New Hampshire0.490.1%1st Place
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7.52Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.66Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 31.4% | 24.3% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Scatchard | 13.4% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 12.6% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 22.1% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Regina Collari | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Hannafin | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Bode | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 5.6% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Luciano | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 24.9% | 17.0% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 26.6% | 30.1% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.