← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University0.99+2.91vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.78+0.52vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.52+0.04vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.27+2.40vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03+4.17vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College0.83-1.89vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire0.49-2.39vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-2.62vs Predicted
-
10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.60-1.41vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University-1.07-3.42vs Predicted
-
12Sacred Heart University-2.40-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.91Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
-
2.52University of Rhode Island1.780.3%1st Place
-
3.04Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
-
6.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.270.0%1st Place
-
9.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
-
4.11Middlebury College0.830.1%1st Place
-
4.61University of New Hampshire0.490.1%1st Place
-
6.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
-
8.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.600.0%1st Place
-
7.58Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
-
9.68Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 12.0% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 32.3% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 21.7% | 23.5% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Regina Collari | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Alex Cooper | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 25.2% | 31.4% |
| Sam Scatchard | 12.5% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Hannafin | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Brayer | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Luciano | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 24.4% | 16.6% |
| Isaac Bode | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 5.1% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 23.5% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.