Race 4A

priddy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlotte Lenz 23.1% 24.1% 19.1% 15.1% 10.5% 5.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 33.1% 25.1% 16.6% 12.4% 7.2% 4.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 12.5% 14.1% 17.1% 16.9% 16.8% 12.1% 6.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jenna Hannafin 7.8% 8.9% 11.8% 15.0% 16.1% 16.9% 12.4% 7.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Sam Scatchard 11.7% 14.0% 17.1% 16.4% 13.2% 13.6% 8.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Regina Collari 4.1% 4.3% 6.4% 7.4% 13.0% 13.3% 18.3% 16.9% 9.9% 5.2% 1.2%
Alex Cooper 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 5.3% 10.2% 18.5% 25.8% 29.1%
Isaac Bode 2.2% 1.9% 2.8% 4.4% 5.1% 9.5% 14.5% 17.7% 20.7% 15.4% 5.8%
Griffin Brayer 3.5% 4.6% 5.2% 6.4% 10.0% 12.9% 18.4% 18.9% 11.4% 6.6% 2.1%
Isabella Luciano 0.8% 1.7% 1.6% 2.6% 3.5% 5.5% 9.1% 13.7% 22.1% 23.4% 16.0%
Tom Coughlin 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 2.2% 3.4% 3.8% 7.5% 12.5% 22.3% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.