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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+2.87vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+0.53vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.52+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.49+0.84vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.83-1.94vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.07+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.27-1.94vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-2.40+0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.03-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.60-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Rhode Island1.780.3%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.84University of New Hampshire0.490.1%1st Place
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4.06Middlebury College0.830.1%1st Place
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7.72Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.270.1%1st Place
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9.69Sacred Heart University-2.400.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.030.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 12.8% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 32.9% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 22.1% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Hannafin | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Scatchard | 12.0% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Bode | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 6.4% |
| Regina Collari | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Tom Coughlin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 23.7% | 45.9% |
| Griffin Brayer | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Alex Cooper | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 24.1% | 31.5% |
| Isabella Luciano | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 21.5% | 25.7% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.