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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.69+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.42+4.58vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.08vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+7.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.58+1.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.03+2.17vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.19+7.08vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.91+4.87vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.89+3.66vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.07-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-0.33vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.40-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.84-0.61vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.88-1.40vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.55+0.64vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.52-4.79vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-4.23vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.87-5.25vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.43-3.88vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.84-2.78vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.15-2.78vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.90-1.23vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.82-2.56vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.46-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of California at Santa Cruz1.6923.6%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.0812.3%1st Place
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7.58University of California at Berkeley0.426.4%1st Place
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4.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4517.7%1st Place
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12.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.742.6%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.586.6%1st Place
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9.17University of California at San Diego0.035.2%1st Place
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15.08San Diego State University-1.190.9%1st Place
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13.87San Diego State University-0.911.9%1st Place
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13.66University of California at Santa Cruz-0.891.9%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.073.5%1st Place
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11.67University of California at Santa Cruz-0.462.5%1st Place
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11.08Arizona State University-0.402.7%1st Place
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13.39University of California at Berkeley-0.841.5%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Irvine-0.881.9%1st Place
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16.64Arizona State University-1.550.8%1st Place
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12.21Arizona State University-0.522.2%1st Place
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13.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.881.4%1st Place
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13.75University of California at San Diego-0.871.5%1st Place
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16.12University of California at Irvine-1.431.1%1st Place
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18.22University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.5%1st Place
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19.22University of California at Davis-2.150.4%1st Place
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21.77University of California at Davis-2.900.2%1st Place
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21.44University of California at Los Angeles-2.820.1%1st Place
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20.41University of California at Davis-2.460.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 23.6% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Baumgartner | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 17.7% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Conor Kim | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Fletcher Steinberg | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caden Domingo | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Whitehill | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Down | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| James Carney | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 33.6% |
| Sophie Nuckowski | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 29.0% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.