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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.16+3.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.35+4.59vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+1.77vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.13+3.83vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73+3.37vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92+2.16vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59-1.30vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.58-1.17vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.21+2.59vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97-2.21vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.67-2.78vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.70-6.41vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.45-1.24vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.60-4.76vs Predicted
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15American University-1.01-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy2.1617.4%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Naval Academy1.358.3%1st Place
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4.77George Washington University1.8213.9%1st Place
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7.83Penn State University1.135.1%1st Place
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8.37Christopher Newport University0.735.1%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.924.8%1st Place
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5.7Old Dominion University1.5911.0%1st Place
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6.83Hampton University0.587.1%1st Place
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11.59William and Mary-0.211.2%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University0.975.1%1st Place
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8.22Virginia Tech0.674.8%1st Place
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5.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7011.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Maryland-0.451.2%1st Place
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9.24Christopher Newport University0.603.0%1st Place
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13.15American University-1.010.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 17.4% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leo Robillard | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Scott Opert | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 22.1% | 18.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| James Lilyquist | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Mason Cook | 11.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 20.5% |
| Aston Atherton | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Curtis | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 19.1% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.