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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.34+8.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+5.34vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont4.60+5.49vs Predicted
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4Washington College4.25+5.98vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.52+3.75vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.99+5.27vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.33+2.89vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.00+9.88vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-1.74vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.64+2.80vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin4.10-0.22vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University5.19-5.85vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.92-1.15vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.47-0.60vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.74-2.77vs Predicted
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16Brown University4.28-6.24vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.87-1.45vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston4.76-10.27vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-10.13vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College4.15-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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9.98Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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17.88Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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12.8Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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6.15Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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13.4Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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12.23University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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9.76Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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15.55University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.53SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Vann | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Blouin | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Alan Palmer | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Tomas Hornos | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 54.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Stemler | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| Britton Steele | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Jeff Knowles | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 18.4% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.