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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+1.78vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63-0.23vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.79+0.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.84-0.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.08+0.02vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.89-0.55vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.83-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.49-2.62vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.48-1.91vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.15-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.2%1st Place
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2.77Salve Regina University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.42Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.45Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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6.4Middlebury College0.830.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.38University of New Hampshire0.490.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 15.7% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Shannon | 30.7% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 11.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Duncan | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Sam Scatchard | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 22.6% | 44.2% |
| Jenna Hannafin | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 8.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 24.1% | 35.9% |
| Braden Foster | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.