Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sam Shannon 27.2% 23.6% 17.6% 14.6% 9.1% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 18.5% 17.4% 15.4% 14.6% 11.6% 9.8% 6.3% 4.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Charlie Blasberg 12.6% 11.5% 14.7% 13.0% 13.1% 11.7% 11.9% 6.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Martin Hooker 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 4.7% 6.4% 11.8% 26.7% 38.1%
John Duncan 6.4% 7.0% 8.4% 8.6% 10.5% 12.0% 13.5% 13.2% 10.9% 7.6% 1.9%
Braden Foster 6.2% 7.2% 9.1% 9.1% 9.9% 13.7% 13.4% 11.7% 11.4% 6.3% 2.0%
Sam Scatchard 5.2% 5.9% 7.5% 6.8% 11.7% 10.2% 11.8% 15.6% 13.6% 8.2% 3.5%
Zachary Bresnick 13.5% 13.0% 15.1% 14.2% 12.0% 11.4% 10.0% 5.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Jenna Hannafin 3.3% 4.7% 4.2% 5.5% 6.6% 8.9% 9.9% 14.2% 18.7% 16.6% 7.4%
Noah Brayer 5.5% 7.1% 5.6% 8.2% 10.2% 11.7% 11.9% 14.1% 14.4% 7.8% 3.5%
Kelsey Delosh 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 4.3% 6.5% 10.2% 24.6% 43.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.