Race 4A

otoole

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexander Bowen 15.5% 16.8% 17.9% 13.5% 12.9% 11.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Sam Shannon 31.0% 22.9% 16.7% 12.2% 8.2% 5.3% 2.3% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Bresnick 11.5% 12.3% 13.3% 13.2% 12.3% 13.7% 11.8% 6.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Charlie Blasberg 11.6% 13.0% 14.4% 14.1% 13.5% 10.8% 10.9% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Jenna Hannafin 3.9% 3.8% 5.3% 5.4% 6.5% 8.8% 9.6% 14.5% 17.9% 16.4% 7.9%
Noah Brayer 4.4% 6.5% 6.6% 7.5% 9.0% 11.1% 11.5% 15.3% 13.3% 10.9% 3.9%
Braden Foster 8.2% 7.8% 7.7% 11.9% 10.4% 12.1% 13.4% 12.1% 9.1% 5.8% 1.5%
John Duncan 6.8% 7.0% 7.8% 10.2% 11.8% 11.3% 12.5% 11.4% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8%
Martin Hooker 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 3.2% 3.5% 8.6% 10.9% 25.5% 37.8%
Sam Scatchard 5.1% 6.4% 6.9% 7.9% 9.5% 9.7% 13.2% 14.1% 14.6% 9.3% 3.3%
Kelsey Delosh 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 4.6% 6.1% 12.2% 22.7% 43.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.