Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sam Shannon 28.3% 22.4% 16.7% 15.7% 8.9% 4.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 18.1% 18.1% 15.3% 14.9% 12.7% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 5.8% 10.0% 11.2% 12.9% 13.9% 14.3% 11.1% 3.7%
Zachary Bresnick 10.9% 13.3% 13.2% 13.9% 13.5% 12.7% 10.3% 6.5% 3.4% 2.1% 0.2%
Sam Scatchard 5.2% 5.7% 7.1% 6.7% 8.9% 11.1% 11.3% 14.2% 15.8% 11.0% 3.0%
John Duncan 5.9% 6.6% 7.6% 9.4% 11.3% 11.5% 13.9% 12.3% 11.0% 8.1% 2.4%
Braden Foster 7.4% 7.8% 9.2% 9.3% 11.6% 13.1% 12.0% 13.1% 8.8% 6.1% 1.6%
Charlie Blasberg 13.8% 14.5% 16.0% 14.1% 11.3% 10.7% 9.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.3%
Jenna Hannafin 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 6.4% 10.5% 10.4% 14.8% 17.1% 14.8% 8.9%
Martin Hooker 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 5.4% 8.2% 13.0% 23.9% 35.6%
Kelsey Delosh 0.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 2.7% 4.7% 6.6% 11.7% 21.9% 44.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.