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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34+2.92vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.65+2.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28-1.55vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50+2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.32-1.40vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.21-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-3.29+0.38vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-5.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.57-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.1%1st Place
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5.03Northeastern University0.650.1%1st Place
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2.45Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.33Salve Regina University1.690.2%1st Place
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7.55University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.04Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.38University of New Hampshire-3.290.0%1st Place
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5.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.1%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University1.570.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Bilodeau | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Coyne | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 31.6% | 26.9% | 20.5% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 18.1% | 19.5% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 23.8% | 28.7% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 13.4% | 45.3% | 28.6% |
| Enoc Escobar | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 22.3% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Vick Xu | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 30.6% | 17.4% | 2.9% |
| Anastasia George | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 20.9% | 66.2% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Savage | 19.0% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.