Race 2B

otoole

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brian Baker 17.8% 19.9% 21.5% 17.8% 11.8% 7.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schaefer 5.2% 4.4% 6.6% 10.5% 13.0% 18.2% 20.1% 15.1% 6.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Adam Bilodeau 12.0% 14.9% 15.9% 16.2% 19.1% 11.8% 7.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Savage 16.3% 17.1% 19.8% 18.0% 13.9% 9.7% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Macklin Fluehr 36.0% 26.9% 17.6% 10.5% 5.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Coyne 6.2% 8.7% 9.0% 13.7% 17.3% 17.9% 14.8% 8.2% 3.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Isabel Rombult 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 3.2% 4.7% 8.8% 14.7% 25.3% 23.4% 10.4% 1.5%
Enoc Escobar 2.8% 3.3% 3.6% 6.2% 9.4% 14.3% 19.8% 21.1% 14.3% 4.3% 0.9%
Christina Chamberlin 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 2.2% 3.1% 6.2% 11.1% 44.3% 30.0%
Vick Xu 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 3.1% 4.0% 6.3% 11.8% 17.3% 33.2% 16.4% 3.6%
Anastasia George 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 1.9% 2.4% 7.1% 23.0% 64.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.