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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Northeastern University0.65+3.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28-0.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34-0.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.57-1.48vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.69-2.83vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.32-0.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50+0.67vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.21-1.88vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-3.51vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-3.29-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Northeastern University0.650.1%1st Place
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2.33Brown University2.280.4%1st Place
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3.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.1%1st Place
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3.52Tufts University1.570.2%1st Place
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3.17Salve Regina University1.690.2%1st Place
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6.74University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
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8.12Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.35University of New Hampshire-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Coyne | 5.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 36.2% | 26.7% | 17.5% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Bilodeau | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Savage | 16.5% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 19.2% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enoc Escobar | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 22.2% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 43.6% | 29.1% |
| Vick Xu | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 32.0% | 16.9% | 4.9% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 25.2% | 23.2% | 11.3% | 1.4% |
| Anastasia George | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 22.4% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.