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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Salve Regina University1.69+1.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.57+0.40vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28-1.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34-1.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.65-1.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.32-1.44vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-1.50vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.21-1.86vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.50-1.32vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-3.29-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Salve Regina University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.4Tufts University1.570.2%1st Place
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2.42Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.1%1st Place
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5.0Northeastern University0.650.1%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.14Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.500.0%1st Place
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10.37University of New Hampshire-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Baker | 18.8% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Savage | 18.1% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 32.6% | 27.7% | 18.7% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Bilodeau | 13.2% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Coyne | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Enoc Escobar | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 22.8% | 24.9% | 10.6% | 1.4% |
| Vick Xu | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 20.6% | 30.8% | 17.5% | 5.3% |
| Christina Chamberlin | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 14.4% | 43.3% | 28.3% |
| Anastasia George | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 22.2% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.