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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+3.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.34+1.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28-1.39vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69-1.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.57-2.41vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.95vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.65-2.84vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.32-2.04vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.21-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.44-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-3.29-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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4.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.340.1%1st Place
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2.61Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.51Salve Regina University1.690.2%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University1.570.2%1st Place
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7.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.16Northeastern University0.650.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Connecticut-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.47Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.440.0%1st Place
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10.54University of New Hampshire-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Casella | 8.3% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Bilodeau | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 29.7% | 26.1% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 17.7% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Savage | 17.6% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 20.7% | 24.4% | 18.7% | 4.1% |
| Erin Coyne | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Enoc Escobar | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 22.3% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 8.3% | 0.6% |
| Vick Xu | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 9.1% | 17.8% | 25.1% | 27.3% | 8.0% |
| Chad Klinefelter | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 34.0% | 9.1% |
| Anastasia George | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.