← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+4.54vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz1.69+1.70vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+9.90vs Predicted
-
4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.25vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.58+2.14vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.42+1.68vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.95-0.92vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+3.77vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+0.56vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+3.95vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley-0.84+2.40vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-0.88+1.64vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.52-0.94vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.87-0.36vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.84+3.08vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-0.40-4.66vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.89-3.34vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-1.55-1.33vs Predicted
-
19San Diego State University-0.91-5.26vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-1.19-4.91vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Irvine-2.06-2.37vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis-2.90-0.38vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Los Angeles-2.82-1.70vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Davis-2.15-4.76vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Davis-2.46-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.0811.1%1st Place
-
3.7University of California at Santa Cruz1.6921.6%1st Place
-
12.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.742.0%1st Place
-
4.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4517.4%1st Place
-
7.14University of California at Santa Cruz0.587.2%1st Place
-
7.68University of California at Berkeley0.425.8%1st Place
-
6.08University of California at San Diego0.959.7%1st Place
-
11.77University of California at Santa Cruz-0.462.2%1st Place
-
9.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.073.6%1st Place
-
13.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.881.6%1st Place
-
13.4University of California at Berkeley-0.841.8%1st Place
-
13.64University of California at Irvine-0.881.8%1st Place
-
12.06Arizona State University-0.522.4%1st Place
-
13.64University of California at San Diego-0.872.1%1st Place
-
18.08University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.4%1st Place
-
11.34Arizona State University-0.402.9%1st Place
-
13.66University of California at Santa Cruz-0.891.7%1st Place
-
16.67Arizona State University-1.550.8%1st Place
-
13.74San Diego State University-0.911.7%1st Place
-
15.09San Diego State University-1.190.7%1st Place
-
18.63University of California at Irvine-2.060.4%1st Place
-
21.62University of California at Davis-2.900.2%1st Place
-
21.3University of California at Los Angeles-2.820.4%1st Place
-
19.24University of California at Davis-2.150.3%1st Place
-
20.34University of California at Davis-2.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Engebretson | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 21.6% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Henderson | 17.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Baumgartner | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Whitehill | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caden Domingo | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Steinberg | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ian Galbraith | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| James Carney | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 29.8% |
| Sophie Nuckowski | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 19.7% | 28.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.