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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.07vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+1.95vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-2.55vs Predicted
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8Santa Barbara City College2.17-3.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06-3.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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5.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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4.77Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 41.3% | 26.1% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 7.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 21.4% | 21.2% | 21.0% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 26.4% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 7.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 22.7% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 56.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.