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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.11vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.17+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.88vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.33-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.06+0.01vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.53-3.89vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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4.82Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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4.43University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 41.2% | 25.9% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 6.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 20.2% | 23.1% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 28.5% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 18.7% | 54.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.