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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.13vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.53+3.16vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+1.16vs Predicted
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6Santa Barbara City College2.17-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.14-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-3.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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2.21Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.75Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 22.5% | 23.0% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 40.2% | 25.8% | 17.1% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 7.2% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 27.4% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 17.7% | 55.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.