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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.53+3.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.85vs Predicted
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5Santa Barbara City College2.17-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.33-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.06+0.05vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
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4.84University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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3.15University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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4.71Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 40.8% | 26.3% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 18.3% | 24.0% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 28.3% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 19.1% | 54.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.