← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.74+1.22vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.18vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.14+1.90vs Predicted
-
4Santa Barbara City College2.17+0.80vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.33-0.60vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.11vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.91vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine1.06-1.06vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.91vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.21vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.22Stanford University3.740.4%1st Place
-
3.18University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
-
4.9University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
-
4.8Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
-
4.4University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
6.94University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
6.09University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.79University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 41.3% | 25.9% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 19.7% | 22.8% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 26.7% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 54.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.