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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+2.20vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+1.70vs Predicted
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4Santa Barbara City College2.17+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.06-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.33-4.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.53-4.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.61-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.67Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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2.93University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.3%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 22.6% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 26.1% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.4% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 53.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 27.9% | 23.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.